{"id":181119,"date":"2024-07-12T18:26:35","date_gmt":"2024-07-12T18:26:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/?post_type=expertise&#038;p=181119"},"modified":"2024-07-12T18:26:38","modified_gmt":"2024-07-12T18:26:38","slug":"the-next-housing-crisis-on-the-horizon","status":"publish","type":"expertise","link":"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/the-next-housing-crisis-on-the-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"The Next Housing Crisis on the Horizon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">While concerns about occupancy and rent growth have been the story so far in 2024, a new narrative is in sight. Yes, some submarkets are experiencing oversupply as new apartment communities come online and begin to lease up.\u00a0 However, with building permits and housing starts grinding to a halt, the future looks very bright for multifamily housing late in 2024 and beyond.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">In short, due to inflated costs of labor and materials, new developments are stalling. Many projects are being frozen or terminated. Prohibitive finance costs are restraining new construction that was once booming when interest rates were low.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">Paused and cancelled multifamily and single-family developments may not be felt immediately, but come late 2024, the housing crisis spurred by frozen construction during the Great Recession of 2008 will feel very real again. We are still several million housing units short from the Great Recession and will not catch up in the current housing cycle. This is very good news for owners of housing properties. We see an opportunity for existing and new investors to benefit from the next upswing in the housing market.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">Headlines are beginning to tell this reframed story:<\/p>\n\n<ul  class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-list\" >\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/product.costar.com\/home\/news\/shared\/172829543\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cUS Single-Family Housing Starts Fall Two Years in a Row\u201d<\/a> (CoStar, 7\/10\/24)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globest.com\/2024\/07\/11\/multifamily-construction-permits-are-down-30\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cMultifamily Construction Permits are Down 30%\u201d<\/a> (GlobeSt., 7\/11\/24)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realpage.com\/analytics\/may-2024-multifamily-permit-update\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cStarts and Permits Drop for Both Multifamily and Single-Family,\u201d<\/a> (Real Page, 7\/1\/24)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globest.com\/2024\/07\/05\/behind-housing-starts-declining-numbers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cBehind Housing Starts&#8217; Declining Numbers\u201d<\/a> (GlobeSt. 7\/5\/24)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realpage.com\/analytics\/2nd-quarter-2024-data-update\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cU.S. Apartment Demand Surges in 2nd Quarter\u201d<\/a> (Real Page, 7\/5\/24)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h3  class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-heading\" ><span class=\"text\">Capital Square\u2019s Response to the Headlines:<\/span><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">We\u2019re ready for it. We know where opportunity resides, and it\u2019s in housing. <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/why-multifamily\/\">Multifamily<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/seizing-the-potential-of-build-for-rent\/\">build-for rent<\/a> (single-family) and <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/investment-potential-manufactured-housing-communities-mhcs\/\">manufactured housing communities<\/a> answer both basic needs and lifestyle aspirations. They will remain solutions for those who cannot afford to buy a home or those who rent by choice for the benefits and flexibility a rental lifestyle can provide.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">Investing in housing \u2013 whether through <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/real-estate-investment\/1031-exchanges-dsts\/\">Delaware statutory trusts (DSTs)<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/real-estate-investment\/opportunity-zone-funds\/\">opportunity zone funds<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/real-estate-investment\/development-funds\/\">development funds<\/a> or a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalsquarereit.com\/\">real estate investment trust<\/a> \u2013 enables a qualified investor to seize the potential of this exceptional asset class. This isn\u2019t a new belief or new means of doing business. <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/real-estate-investment\/\">Tax-advantaged real estate investment strategies<\/a> are at the core of everything Capital Square has been, is now, or will become.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">Our development team is also showcasing its distinction in the present environment. There are no pauses on <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/development\/\">Capital Square Development<\/a>\u2019s horizon. By seizing upon strategic pathways and innovative processes, Capital Square\u2019s multifamily deliveries remain on schedule for 2025, 2026, and 2027 in metros including Raleigh, North Carolina; <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/knoxville-an-emerging-city-on-the-rise\/\">Knoxville, Tennessee<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/phoenix-job-growth-booming-build-for-rent-demand\/\">Phoenix, Arizona<\/a>; and <a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/richmond-virginia-washington-d-c-s-new-sister-city-so-much-more\/\">Richmond, Virginia<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">Housing is a necessity. People need a place to live. The economy may shift and sway, and the real estate industry may have its fluctuations. Nonetheless, an investment in multifamily properties would have never lost money when made in any quarter since Q4 1977 in the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) unlevered property portfolio. In fact, the average annualized return was 9.4%.<sup data-fn=\"874f478a-988f-4122-8174-142477f45b86\" class=\"fn\"><a id=\"874f478a-988f-4122-8174-142477f45b86-link\" href=\"#874f478a-988f-4122-8174-142477f45b86\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\">At Capital Square, we raise capital, buildings and expectations. The complexities of the real estate market are manifold, but we believe the best is yet to come.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll\"><a href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/contact\/\">Contact Capital Square<\/a> to learn more.<\/p>\n\n<hr  class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-footnotes\"><li id=\"874f478a-988f-4122-8174-142477f45b86\">\u201cThe Golden Age of Multifamily,\u201d Linneman Associates, LLC, 2022 (the \u201cLinneman Report\u201d). Linneman Associates, LLC is a consulting and research firm specializing in commercial real estate investment strategy and was compensated by Capital Square Realty Advisors, LLC for preparation of the Linneman Report. <a href=\"#874f478a-988f-4122-8174-142477f45b86-link\" aria-label=\"Jump to footnote reference 1\">\u21a9\ufe0e<\/a><\/li><\/ol>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While concerns about occupancy and rent growth have been the story so far in 2024, a new narrative is in sight. Yes, some submarkets are experiencing oversupply as new apartment &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":[40],"featured_media":181123,"template":"","meta":{"featured_image_background_position":"","promoted":false,"priority":"","footnotes":"[{\"content\":\"\u201cThe Golden Age of Multifamily,\u201d Linneman Associates, LLC, 2022 (the \u201cLinneman Report\u201d). Linneman Associates, LLC is a consulting and research firm specializing in commercial real estate investment strategy and was compensated by Capital Square Realty Advisors, LLC for preparation of the Linneman Report.\",\"id\":\"874f478a-988f-4122-8174-142477f45b86\"}]"},"categories":[25],"tags":[33,30],"content-type":[39],"investment":[],"class_list":["post-181119","expertise","type-expertise","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investment-insights","tag-development","tag-multifamily","content-type-article","author-capital-square-team"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Next Housing Crisis on the Horizon - Capital Square - Raising capital, buildings and expectations<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Paused and cancelled multifamily and single-family developments may not be felt immediately, but come late 2024, the housing crisis will feel very real again.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/capitalsq.com\/expertise\/the-next-housing-crisis-on-the-horizon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Next Housing Crisis on the Horizon - 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